The Return of Warming (Some Call it ‘Spring’)

The Return of Warming (Some Call it ‘Spring’)
Vol: 126 Issue: 29 Thursday, March 29, 2012

The first three weeks of March are the last three weeks of winter in the Northern Hemisphere.  Winter or not, the first three weeks of March shattered warm-weather records across North America.  Regions of the country that should have been in the mid thirties were posting temperatures in the mid 70’s and low 80’s.

Trees burst into bloom, perennial flowers began to bud . . . I had to cut my lawn in mid-March!  I don’t usually have to fire up the lawn mower until the last week in April or the first week in May.  I was bitten by a mosquito last week and a troop of ants the size of St. Bernard dogs showed up a month early in my back yard.

Last Saturday it was 75 degrees Fahrenheit in my little corner of the Great White North.  Monday morning when I got up, it was 17 degrees with an expected high of about 30.   

This week, while parts of the United States are shivering in the cold, in Europe, they are setting heat records.

Across Europe, people died by the hundreds during a severe cold wave during the first half of February.  A week later, Parisians were strolling down the Champs-Élysées in their shirt-sleeves.

The ridiculously warm weather had some die-hard True Believers out in the shirt-sleeves to proclaim the return of global warming — but only in North America.  On the Continent, they were freezing their way through one of the coldest winters in living memory.

But the global warming alarmists are nothing if they are not persistent.  

A report released on Wednesday by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations body that issues periodic updates on climate science, confirmed that a strong body of evidence links global warming to an increase in heat waves, a rise in episodes of heavy rainfall and other precipitation, and more frequent coastal flooding.

“A changing climate leads to changes in the frequency, intensity, spatial extent, duration and timing of extreme weather and climate events, and can result in unprecedented extreme weather and climate events,” the report found.

The UN’s IPCC was convened specifically for the purpose of making the case that man-made global warming poses a risk to the continued health of the planet, which it claims poses an existential risk to the human race.   

The IPCC wasted no time in finding a correlation between the three week heat-wave and their claim that man-made emissions are responsible for global warming.

United States government scientists recently reported, for instance, that February was the 324th consecutive month in which global temperatures exceeded their long-term average for a given month; the last month with below-average temperatures was February 1985.

In the United States, many more record highs are being set at weather stations than record lows, a bellwether indicator of a warming climate.

So far this year, the United States has set 17 new daily highs for every new daily low, according to an analysis performed for The New York Times by Climate Central, a research group in New Jersey. Last year, despite a chilly winter, the country set nearly three new highs for every low, the analysis found.

And that’s only the tip of the IPCC’s looming iceberg of climatological catastrophe.

The report specifically points to New Orleans during 2005’s Hurricane Katrina, noting that “developed countries also suffer severe disasters because of social vulnerability and inadequate disaster protection.”

In coastal areas of the United States, property damage from hurricanes and rising seas could increase by 20 percent by 2030, the report said. And in parts of Texas, the area vulnerable to storm surge could more than double by 2080.

Already U.S. insured losses from weather disasters have soared from an average of about $3 billion a year in the 1980s to about $20 billion a year in the last decade, even after adjusting for inflation, said Mark Way, director of sustainability at insurance giant Swiss Re. Last year that total rose to $35 billion, but much of that was from tornadoes, which scientists are unable to connect with global warming. U.S. insured losses are just a fraction of the overall damage from weather disasters each year.

 Globally, the scientists say that some places, particularly parts of Mumbai in India, could become uninhabitable from floods, storms and rising seas. In 2005, over 24 hours nearly 3 feet of rain fell on the city, killing more than 1,000 people and causing massive damage. Roughly 2.7 million people live in areas at risk of flooding.

Horrors!  The sky truly must be falling!  Even with Obama in office to cool the planet and calm the seas, the IPCC report reads like the trailer for a new Hollywood disaster movie.   

Ok.  Let’s concede that recent decades have been warmer than they were in the decades before that.  So? 

Assessment:

While recent decades were warmer than the decades before that, the decades before that were warmer and the decades before that were cooler.  Climate scientists deal in numbers and numbers, in the hands of a skilled statistician, can be used to prove practically anything.

So while it started getting warmer in the 1980’s, that is only because it began to get cooler in the 1960’s after it had been warmer in the 30’s, which followed the Little Ice Age that ended around 1900.  

If it were the intent of climate scientists to make the case for global cooling, the last fifteen years would have provided as much evidence for cooling as the IPCC says there is for warming.  What is missing is evidence that points to human activity as the cause.

Indeed, recent scientific studies show that the Medieval Warming Period the IPCC first denied, and then claimed was localized to Europe and therefore was statistically meaningless, was both global in scope and totally unrelated to human activity.

A team of scientists led by geochemist Zunli Lu from Syracuse University in New York state, has found that contrary to the ‘consensus’, the ‘Medieval Warm Period’ approximately 500 to 1,000 years ago wasn’t just confined to Europe.

In fact, it extended all the way down to Antarctica – which means that the Earth has already experienced global warming without the aid of human CO2 emissions.

If the earth underwent a period of global warming in medieval times, before human activity could have had an effect on the climate, then the entire Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory is totally, conclusively and unequivocally disproved.

Except among those scientists, politicians and news media types that have invested all their credibility in making the case that the only way to prevent global warming is to invest billions in “green” projects that they just coincidentally happen to be involved in. 

If the Medieval Warming Period actually existed, then the argument about melting Arctic ice caps causing catastrophic global flooding is meaningless.  Why?  Because it was warmer back then than it is now.

A review of more than 240 scientific studies has shown that today’s temperatures are neither the warmest over the past millennium, nor are they producing the most extreme weather – in stark contrast to the claims of the environmentalists.

The review, carried out by a team from Harvard University, examined the findings of studies of so-called “temperature proxies” such as tree rings, ice cores and historical accounts which allow scientists to estimate temperatures prevailing at sites around the world.

The findings prove that the world experienced a Medieval Warm Period between the ninth and 14th centuries with global temperatures significantly higher even than today.

They also confirm claims that a Little Ice Age set in around 1300, during which the world cooled dramatically. Since 1900, the world has begun to warm up again – but has still to reach the balmy temperatures of the Middle Ages.

The timing of the end of the Little Ice Age is especially significant, as it implies that the records used by climate scientists date from a time when the Earth was relatively cold, thereby exaggerating the significance of today’s temperature rise.

In the tenth century, during the Medieval Warming Period, Viking explorer Leif Ericksson set up colonies on a island he discovered and named, “Greenland.”  The Norse colonies thrived until about the fifteenth century, when they were abandoned.  Why?

Because when the Medieval Warming Period ended, Greenland froze.  Global warming alarmists say that as the icecaps melt, the runoff of water will overflow the oceans.  But there are no records of receding seas, newly exposed coastlines, etc., as the earth cooled.   

Why?  Because the seas didn’t rise and the coastlines didn’t flood when the temperatures rose.  So there was no need for them to recede.  Because virtually every scary thing the global warming alarmists say will happen if it gets any warmer, didn’t. 

By most honest estimates, global warming ended about fifteen years ago. In fact, the UK’s University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit was forced to quietly concede the rise in global temperatures ended in 1997.

What else happened at about the same time?  Solar activity began to wane until astrophysicists began warning of a coming Ice Age.  

Even NASA, which has bet its budget on anthropogenic global warming, cannot deny the effect the sun has on global warming.

Early records of sunspots indicate that the Sun went through a period of inactivity in the late 17th century. Very few sunspots were seen on the Sun from about 1645 to 1715. Although the observations were not as extensive as in later years, the Sun was in fact well observed during this time and this lack of sunspots is well documented. This period of solar inactivity also corresponds to a climatic period called the “Little Ice Age” when rivers that are normally ice-free froze and snow fields remained year-round at lower altitudes. There is evidence that the Sun has had similar periods of inactivity in the more distant past.

Let’s begin to pull it all together now and see how it looks with all the pieces in place.   First, we have the totally irrational fear that human activity can produce more greenhouse gases than the atmosphere can absorb. (The oceans account for 95% of all atmospheric greenhouse gases.)

Despite the historical and scientific evidence to the contrary, entire nations are convinced that we’re all at risk from global warming, despite being clueless about how best to tackle the “problem” which is, of course, what to do when the sea and the waves start roaring.

There are signs in the sun that indicate the cause of both the warming and cooling trends.  When solar activity slows down, it gets cooler.  When solar activity intensifies, it gets warmer. 

But the world in general, as represented by the UN, continues to operate out of fear that global warming is coming upon the earth and out of distress at what it means.  

When the Lord was asked by His disciples to outline some of the signs of His Second Coming at the end of the age, He referenced ever-increasing incidences of earthquakes, famines, wars and pestilences, together with increasing lawlessness, ethnic unrest and religious upheaval.

But all these things are part of the human condition.  Except for the prophesied increase in frequency, they are all pretty ambiguous — these things have always been with us, to some degree.  But Jesus tied them together with two events that are unique to this generation, to the exclusion of all others.

“. . .  and Jerusalem shall be trodden down of the Gentiles, until the times of the Gentiles be fulfilled.”  (Luke 21:24)

Jerusalem remains to this day, “trodden down of the Gentiles” as the Gentile world resists Israeli efforts to claim the city as their exclusive capital.  But for the first time in 2000 years, the Jews possess it.  And when the times of the Gentiles are fulfilled at the Rapture, there is little reason to doubt that the city will be exclusively theirs.

The Lord followed up that prediction by prophesying a second event that is unique to this generation. 

“And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring; Men’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming on the earth: for the powers of heaven shall be shaken.” (Luke 21:25-26)

One has to deliberately look away in order to miss the significance of this prophecy to the headlines of this generation.  It could not be more obvious.  It incorporates all of the climate change arguments into a single paragraph, predicting the world’s exact reaction and even what the world would be afraid of.

Note that Jesus said that FIRST comes the recovery of Jerusalem by the Jews.  That sign is followed by the signs in the sun, moon and stars.  

Those signs, which are related to the sea and the roaring waves, cause fear and confusion (distress and perplexity) as nations rail at those things they believe are coming upon the earth.  (Like overflowing seas, inundated coastlines, catastrophic crop failures, droughts, tornadoes, hurricanes, etc.)

Note also what Jesus said comes next:

“And then shall they see the Son of man coming in a cloud with power and great glory.” (Luke 21:27)

So first comes the signs, then comes the  fear of climate change, then comes the confusion, which continues, like all the other signs, to increase in frequency and intensity, UNTIL the world sees the Son of Man coming in a cloud at the Second Coming.

That is what Jesus told the world to watch for.  It is what He told His (Jewish disciples) to watch for.  Then He had a different message for the Church as we witness all these things coming to pass.

“And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh.” (Luke 21:28)

Here’s the sit-rep for March 29, 2012.  We’re past the Jewish recovery of Jerusalem.  We’re past the signs in the sun.  We’re past the sea and the waves roaring.  We’re well into the fear and confusion stage as mankind worries about the powers of heaven being shaken and what it means to them.

We are not yet to the point when they see the Son of Man returning in a cloud and great glory at His Second Coming, but all the rest has begun to come to pass. Where should we look next?

Up.

This entry was posted in Briefings by Pete Garcia. Bookmark the permalink.

About Pete Garcia

Christian, father, husband, veteran, pilot, and sinner saved by grace. I am a firm believer in, and follower of Jesus Christ. I am Pre-Trib, Dispensational, and Non-Denominational (but I lean Southern Baptist).

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