P-5 Plus 1

P-5 Plus 1
Vol: 97 Issue: 1 Thursday, October 1, 2009

The first round of international talks with Iran begin today in Geneva, Switzerland over Iran s nuclear program. The P-5 refers to the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, the US, UK, Russia, China, and France.

The P-5 were the five major nations of the victorious Allied Powers of WWII. The Plus 1 nation is Germany, their main protagonist. So together, we have what constituted the whole world from the perspective of history, excluding only Japan.

As the Allied victory became increasingly obvious, the Allies met in Tehran, where they laid the groundwork for the post-war United Nations. Tehran was the place where Roosevelt, Churchill and Stalin agreed on the boundaries for what later became known as the Iron Curtain.

Before their meeting in Tehran with Stalin, Roosevelt and Churchill met with China s Chiang Kai-Shek in Cairo. Chiang Kai-Shek was at the time distracted by the threat to his own post-war government posed by rival warlord Mao Tse-Tung. Not to mention his country s occupation by the Imperial Japanese Empire.

Post-war Europe was the least of his worries.

While in Cairo, Churchill was unable to engage Roosevelt regarding the upcoming meeting in Tehran and the American president remained withdrawn and distant.

Arriving in Tehran on November 28, 1943, Roosevelt distanced himself further from Churchill and engaged Stalin personally. Stalin was brimming with confidence. Roosevelt was tired, weak and sick.

When the dealing was over with, Roosevelt had conceded control of Eastern Europe to Stalin, resulting in the creation of what Churchill later famously dubbed, the Iron Curtain and setting the stage for the Cold War to follow.

The P-5+1 is therefore representative of pretty much the whole world, given that the last two times these six met are described by historians as World War I and World War II.

One of pre-war Germany s greatest assets was that the Allies didn t really understand how completely crazy the little Bavarian corporal really was. By 1938, Hitler s book, Mein Kampf, was an international best-seller.

Mein Kampf laid out Hitler s entire worldview and plan for conquest. It explained the use of propaganda and the Principle of the Big Lie, told of his plans to seek lebensraum (living space) by seizing the Ukraine from Russia, and spoke of his domestic agenda for untermenschen (inferior people) and especially, for the Jews.

Despite that, when Neville Chamberlain and Edouard Daladier met with Hitler in Munich in 1938, hoping to prevent what was clearly an inevitable war with Germany, they had no clue who they were dealing with.

Nobody could be that crazy, they reasoned.

In exchange for peace, Hitler wanted the Allies to look the other way while Germany annexed Czechoslovakia. Chamberlain and Daladier sold out the Czechs, but drew a line in the sand when it came to Poland.

Hitler annexed Czechoslovakia, France and Britain looked the other way and mumbled something about peace in our time in hopes of drowning out the sounds of Czechoslovakia s sobbing at her betrayal.

The United States policy in 1938 was that any war with Germany would be a European war. America had no axe to grind with the Germans. Indeed, the country was split over Germany among Hitler s greatest admirers were Joseph P Kennedy, Charles Lindberg and Henry Ford.

Assessment:

It is often said that history has a tendency to repeat itself. I think a more accurate observation was made by the estimable Mark Twain; history doesn t repeat itself, but it rhymes.

Fast forward sixty-six years.

The P-5 pretty much rhymes with pre-war France and England. When word broke that Iran was working on a nuclear weapons program in 2003, the P-5 were as divided over Iran as the pre-war Allies were about Hitler.

Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov will represent Russia. Ryabkov s public position in the run-up to the talks like Russia s has been ambivalent.

The Russians have a vested interest in keeping Iran s nuclear program intact they have billions invested in it. The Kremlin also has a strategic interest they hope to be able to use a nuclear Iran as a proxy to pressure Europe on such issues as NATO expansion.

As in Tehran in 1943, the Russians are playing a double game over Tehran now.

China, the UK and France are sending relatively low-profile negotiators, many experienced with nuclear issues and Middle Eastern affairs. Germany is sending Volker Stanzel, political director of the Foreign Office, along with a delegation from the German Foreign Ministry.

Undersecretary of State William Burns will represent the US at Geneva. Burns, a long time advocate of rewarding Iran with face-to-face talks — is cast as this time around s Neville Chamberlain.

It was William Burns who negotiated the still-secret terms (if indeed there were any) behind the US capitulation to Russia over the planned missile defense shield over Russia and the Czech Republic.

Overseeing European interests at the meeting will be Javier Solana the Secretary-General of the European Union and High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy. (Can you imagine fitting that title on a business card?)

Solana is widely seen as a firm ally of the United States, but not quite so beloved by Israel, who is hoping not to be cast in the role of Czechoslovakia in this history rhyme.

The Israeli government has clamped a lid on government responses about Iran or the Geneva meetings, other than Foreign Minister Avigdor Leiberman s call on Saturday for the international community to overthrow the mad regime in Tehran.

We ve addressed the eerie sense that we re reliving the 1930 s in previous columns. The UN s increasing irrelevance, the US hard left-turn into fascism, the global economic crisis and the problem of the Jewish question . . . Mark Twain was right.

History does rhyme.

Special Note:

Our good friend Jan Markell over at Olive Tree Ministries has copies for sale of the Jewish Voice International s three-part discussion program entitled How Late Is the Hour?

The prophecy discussion program features Jan Markell, Jonathan Bernis, Steve Spillman, Dr Mark Hitchcock and an old fat guy who looks remarkably like my Dad.

The DVD covers all three half-hour programs which are professional broadcast quality and cover a lot of the issues that we follow here at the Omega Letter.

You can order the DVD directly from Jan s shopping cart here. The DVD’s are $17.00 and you can help the Omega Letter at the same time.

Just below the picture of the DVD cover is the question, Where did you hear about this DVD? If you click the drop down menu and click, the Omega Letter the OL will earn a commission on the sale.

On a related note, I also received an email from Jewish Voice informing me that they will be broadcasting a one-on-one interview I did with them while I was there for the round table discussion.

That program airs beginning this week. I will post the schedule that they sent me today in the Member s Forums.

And finally, we re running a little behind today. We spent the past week moving. We were renting the little house next door to my house for the past year or so for use as an office. The lady who owns it called last week and asked if we wanted to buy it.

When the money crunch time comes and you have to cut back, the first place one starts looking is at things like subscriptions. So Gayle and I were already discussing whether we could continue to afford to rent it when the landlord forced the issue by raising the question.

Anyway, once we informed her of our decision, we got the boot. (She’s in a hurry to sell.)

It is amazing how much stuff one can accumulate — and how quickly. We got almost everything moved by last night, but it took a little while this morning to get organized and online.

But it slowed me down a little today. All set now. Sorry.

This entry was posted in Briefings by Pete Garcia. Bookmark the permalink.

About Pete Garcia

Christian, father, husband, veteran, pilot, and sinner saved by grace. I am a firm believer in, and follower of Jesus Christ. I am Pre-Trib, Dispensational, and Non-Denominational (but I lean Southern Baptist).

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s