The Indo-Pak Time Bomb

The Indo-Pak Time Bomb
Vol: 87 Issue: 1 Monday, December 1, 2008

India issued a warning that the sixty-hour terrorist siege of Mumbai had dealt Indo-Pakistani relations a “grave setback.” India’s Minister of State for External Affairs Anand Sharma told a press conference that India blamed Pakistan for the attacks.

Indian government sources said New Delhi was almost totally convinced that the attack was carried out by Pakistan-based militant group Lashkar-e-Taiba, with assistance from sections within Pakistan’s powerful spy service, the ISI

Lashkar, which has been battling Indian troops in Kashmir, was banned by Pakistan in 2002 by Musharraf.

When the US was preparing to invade Afghanistan, President Bush offered Musharraf the choice between his alliance with the Taliban and an alliance with Washington.

Musharraf decided that a live democrat was better than a dead Islamist and declared Pakistan a ‘moderate’ Islamic state, pledged an alliance with Washington in the war on terror and banned groups like the LeT.

(Which simply moved the LeT from the foreground to the background of ISI operations. The LeT continues to protect bin-Laden and al-Qaeda in the so-called “lawless” regions.)

As with the rest of the main players in the Bible’s predicted end-times scenario, the Indo-Pakistan conflict emerged at the same point in history as did Israel.

In 1947, the British Indian Empire came to an end with the partitioning of India into two separate entities, then called “The Dominion of Pakistan” and the “Union of India.”

In 1948, Burma (Myanmar) and Ceylon (Sri Lanka) were created out of the former British Indian Empire. When Pakistan was separated from India, there was a massive population exchange between the two new nations.

Based on a 1951 census, it was estimated that more than 7.2 million Muslims moved from India to Pakistan while an almost identical number of Hindus and Sikhs moved from Pakistan to India.

Since being partitioned, India and Pakistan have gone to war twice — once in 1965 and a second time in 1971. The first war ended in a stalemate — but in the 1971 conflict Pakistan was soundly defeated by India in less than two weeks. India ended up capturing some 93,000 Pakistani POWS.

The war ended with the Dominion of Pakistan being separated again, splitting into the Islamic Republic of Pakistan and the nation of Bangladesh.

In 1999, while the CIA slept, India and Pakistan each detonated a nuclear device, very nearly sparking a nuclear war between the two nations. Between 2001 and 2002, both nations massed troops along their shared border with Kashmir in preparation for war.

In all, about a million troops for both sides faced each other over the Kashmiri border before tensions de-escalated following intense diplomatic pressure and both sides stood down in October, 2002.

Assessment:

After the 9/11 attacks, the US needed Pakistan’s support to prosecute the war in Afghanistan to bring down the Taliban and (hopefully) capture or kill Osama bin Laden.

In order to secure it, Washington put pressure on New Delhi to show ‘restraint’ with Pakistan so that the US could pursue bin-Laden unhindered.

India has largely cooperated for most the past six years but the attack on Mumbai has soured relations. New Delhi officially requested that Pakistan send the head of the ISI to India to investigate.

(Islamabad, out of an abundance of caution for its ISI chief, refused.)

CNN’s India bureau is reporting that New Delhi is considering suspending the five-year old ceasefire with Pakistan and cutting off all diplomatic ties, a precursor to war.

India and Pakistan, it is to be remembered, are both nuclear powers.

A group of environmental scientists have developed a probable scenario for a limited nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan.

The calculations are based on what would happen if 10 explosions took place, similar in size to the one over Hiroshima in Japan in 1945, over some of India’s and Pakistan’s most populated cities.

The Institute for Science and International Security in Washington suggests that India has about 65 warheads made from 310 kilograms of plutonium.

Pakistan has around 40 made from 690 kilograms of uranium. Each warhead is believed to be roughly equivalent to Fat Man and Little Boy the bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II.

The London Sunday Times reported that Pakistan may have a larger arsenal than is estimated by Washington, which would make the environmental scientists estimate a best case scenario.

M.V. Ramana of Princeton University in New Jersey estimated that if only a tenth of the nuclear weapons of two countries were exploded above 10 of their largest cities, 2.6 million people would die or be injured in India and 1.8 million in Pakistan. Radioactive dust, if the bombs exploded on the ground, would kill people across hundreds of square miles.

This scenario is based on a limited nuclear war, not an all out nuclear war. If either side unleashed their entire arsenal, the destruction and death would increase exponentially, rendering Pakistan extinct and India a third of her former self.

The war zone would be uninhabitable for decades, if not centuries. Nuclear fallout would be carried into the upper atmosphere and deposited world-wide. India and Pakistan together represent slightly more than one sixth of humanity. China shares a common border with both.

A number of prominent Bible prophecy teachers are advancing the theory of a false Armageddon that so numbs the world that it voluntarily begins to surrender power to the center, forming the four spheres of global power that exist in the last days.

A nuclear war in South Asia would accomplish that in short order. It is hard to imagine Europe sitting by idly after witnessing the carnage of an Indo-Pakistani nuclear war without forcefully putting an end to the growing nuclear threat in its own back yard in the Middle East.

The Bible doesn t have much to say about the Kings of the East, apart from their westward march during the Tribulation period. But it does mention them.

This isn t the Tribulation Period, yet. But as we get closer, we see the main players taking the stage.

The Bible divides the world in the last days into four spheres of regional power; the Antichrist’s Western empire, the Islamic Kings of the South, (Islamic North Africa and the southern Mediterranean states) the Gog-Magog Alliance and the “Kings of the East”.

The Antichrist’s Western Empire is under construction. The Gog-Magog Alliance is already largely in place. Islamic North Africa, as a power bloc, is on the rise. The dark clouds of war are again gathering in the East.

All that is missing is a messiah-figure to lead us through these turbulent times . . .

That comes January 20th.

This entry was posted in Briefings by Pete Garcia. Bookmark the permalink.

About Pete Garcia

Christian, father, husband, veteran, pilot, and sinner saved by grace. I am a firm believer in, and follower of Jesus Christ. I am Pre-Trib, Dispensational, and Non-Denominational (but I lean Southern Baptist).

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